Championship play-off final a tough one to call says Preston North End manager Alex Neil
Neil, who was a play-off winner with Norwich City four years ago, says it will come down to who holds their nerve in the Wembley showdown.
Derby lost their home leg of the semi-final 1-0 to Leeds and then went behind in the second leg at Elland Road.
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Hide AdBut they produced a stunning fightback to win 4-2 on the night.
Villa needed penalties to see them through at the expense of West Bromwich Albion, winning the first leg 2-1 at home but losing 1-0 in the return at the Hawthorns.
Neil said: "When you look back at Derby's second leg at Leeds, the blunder from the Leeds goalkeeper completely changed the flow of the game.
"That got them back in the game and changed the dynamics.
"You could see the panic in Leeds, they thought they needed to get another goal and left themselves exposed.
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Hide Ad"Derby picked them off when really it should have been the other way round had Leeds not conceded.
"Villa didn't look like scoring in their second leg at West Brom and had Dwight Gayle not been sent-off in the first game and been suspended, he would have caused them problems.
"West Brom took their forward players off before the penalties and had four defenders taking penalties.
"In the final it will be down to who holds their nerve on the day.
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Hide Ad"The year Norwich went up when I was there, Middlesbrough beat Norwich 5-0 on aggregate over the course of the season.
"They won 4-0 at their place before I was there and then 1-0 at Norwich.
"But at Wembley Norwich won 2-0 quite comfortably."